Wie ist der Rückgang 2023 und vor allem 2024 zu erklären?

Wer gestern (zu früh) gestorben ist, kann heute nicht mehr sterben :)

Understanding the Pull-Forward Effect ... is crucial when evaluating Excess Non-Covid Natural Cause Mortality, as well as in actuarial and epidemiological studies more broadly. This is because the combined effects of excess mortality and temporary decreases in mortality following a pandemic can offset each other, a phenomenon known as the Simpson effect, leading researchers astray. This has been evident in the analysis of the Covid-19 pandemic, where analysts have consistently arrived at incorrect conclusions about the relationship between the vaccine and excess mortality due to a lack of understanding in addressing this aspect of the data.

https://theethicalskeptic.com/2025/09/11/the-state-of-things-pandemic/